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“We expect new products such as KPI markets, which allow users to trade a single corporate metric, such as production, deliveries, or subscriber growth, rather than the stock price itself,” observe the analysts. “Further, perp futures are expanding from crypto to commodities and single stock perps.”
Some exchange operators already filed plans to introduce KPI-linked event contracts. Those derivatives would be tied to metrics such as corporate earnings or, in more nuanced cases, Apple iPhone shipments or Tesla deliveries — just two examples — in a given quarter.
While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.
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“Evolution may be unwittingly susceptible to having its games played through third-party operators, in violation of its contracts…”
The firm goes on to confirm that Evolution had therefore received income from these unauthorised activities.
“Such operations, albeit not purposeful, may impugn the company’s reputation and potentially subject Evolution to heightened regulatory scrutiny and the imposition of sanctions,” the report continues.
What is Dig Dig Digger?
Hoffenheim vs. Molde (Agg 3-3) (5.55pm GMT kick-off)
Villarreal vs. Red Bull Salzburg (Agg 2-0) (5.55pm GMT kick-off)
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Young Boys (Agg 3-4) (8pm GMT kick-off)
